Statistical Comparison

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2

Striking Metrics

• Gadzhiyasulov has superior striking efficiency (50% vs 41% accuracy)
• Gadzhiyasulov shows better defense, absorbing only 1.37 strikes per minute vs Lopes’ 4.07
• Both fighters have similar striking volume (3.3 vs 3.69 strikes per minute)
• Gadzhiyasulov demonstrates significantly better striking defense (67% vs 63%)

Grappling Metrics

• Gadzhiyasulov shows strong wrestling credentials (5.5 takedowns per 15 minutes, 91% accuracy)
• Lopes has perfect takedown defense but limited sample size
• Neither fighter shows significant submission threat (0.0 attempts per 15 minutes)

Physical Attributes

• Both fighters are equally matched in height (6’2″)
• Gadzhiyasulov has a slight reach advantage (75″ vs 74″)
• Both fighters are the same age (31)
• Both compete at their natural weight class of 205 lbs

Recent Form Analysis

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

• Undefeated record (9-0)
• Most recent win via majority decision over Brendson Ribeiro
• Strong wrestling performance with 5 takedowns in last UFC fight
• Showed consistent control in DWCS victory
• Demonstrated ability to maintain pace over three rounds

Bruno Lopes

• Recent KO loss to Brendson Ribeiro (common opponent)
• Rebounded with KO victory in Contender Series
• Shows finishing ability but vulnerability to strikes
• 13-1 overall record indicates potential but recent setback is concerning

Style Matchup Evaluation

Striking Phase

• Gadzhiyasulov’s superior defense and accuracy suggest advantage in technical striking
• Lopes has shown more finishing power but also more vulnerability
• Gadzhiyasulov’s ability to avoid damage while landing effectively is crucial

Grappling Phase

• Clear advantage to Gadzhiyasulov in wrestling
• Lopes’ takedown defense untested against high-level wrestling
• Gadzhiyasulov’s control time likely to be significant factor

Key Factors

1. Wrestling Disparity
   • Gadzhiyasulov’s strong takedown game vs Lopes’ untested defense

   • Control time likely to favor Gadzhiyasulov

2. Common Opponent Analysis

   • Gadzhiyasulov defeated Brendson Ribeiro via decision
   • Lopes was stopped by Ribeiro in round 1

   • Direct comparison favors Gadzhiyasulov

3. Defensive Statistics

   • Gadzhiyasulov’s superior striking defense
   • Lower absorption rate indicates better defensive awareness

Prediction and Rationale

Gadzhiyasulov by Unanimous Decision

The combination of superior wrestling and more robust defensive statistics suggests Gadzhiyasulov will control where this fight takes place. His ability to mix striking with takedowns while maintaining strong defensive awareness should allow him to accumulate points while minimizing risk. While Lopes has shown finishing ability, his defensive vulnerabilities and struggles against similar competition make him the underdog in this matchup.

Risk Factors:

• Lopes’ knockout power
• Limited UFC-level sample size for both fighters
• Potential cardio questions in later rounds